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Election Insights: A Peek into the Voter Profiles of Canada and the US
On Monday, the Canadian election revealed some unexpected parallels between our voting patterns and those of our neighbors to the south. In an analysis by La Presse, it was found that Liberals and Democrats share certain traits, while Conservatives and Republicans exhibit similarities, though not to the same extent.
The Conservative Vote: Big Houses and Blue-Collar Workers
In an analysis of 343 ridings, the number of pieces in houses was the most correlated with the Conservative vote. The larger the house size in a riding, the more likely voters were to vote for the Conservative Party. There was also a relationship between the proportion of people who use a car to go to work and the Conservative vote.
The second variable that best explains the Conservative vote is the proportion of construction workers in a riding. On the other hand, ridings with a higher percentage of workers in the arts lean more towards the New Democratic Party.
Education: The Great Divide
Traditionally, race and ethnicity played a significant role in the U.S. election. However, it's now education that determines the vote, much like in Canada. The more university graduates in a riding, the more important the Liberal vote is. There's an inverse relationship between education and the Conservative vote, but the correlation is less strong.
Gender Politics
Like the U.S., gender played a role in Monday's Canadian election. The correlation between the percentage of women in a riding and the Liberal vote is strong. However, unlike the U.S., there's no definitive sign that a riding will vote Conservative based on the proportion of men.
Bloc Québécois: French Speakers and Catholic Roots
The strongest correlation calculated by La Presse was between the Bloc vote and the percentage of people who speak French at home. There were also strong correlations with the percentage of Catholics. However, the more people who use public transit to go to work, the less likely this riding is to vote Bloc.
Voting: An International Phenomenon
Voting behavior is influenced by a variety of factors, including education and occupation, as well as income level, regional economic conditions, and social identity. Despite similarities, differences in electoral systems and cultural contexts result in distinct voting patterns in both countries.
In the U.S., workers in the service sector might lean towards policies supporting social welfare, while those in management roles may favor more conservative economic policies. In Canada, workers in the arts tend to support more progressive policies, while construction workers may lean towards conservatism. However, offereing a more nuanced approach to social and economic issues sets apart Canadian political parties from their U.S. counterparts.
In terms of electoral systems, the U.S. operates under a presidential system with winner-takes-all elections in many states, while Canada uses a parliamentary system. Voter registration also varies between countries, with Canada adopting a more streamlined system compared to the U.S.
- The correlation between large house sizes and the Conservative vote in 343 ridings was striking.
- The larger the house size in a Canadian riding, the more conservative the vote.
- Car usage for work also played a significant role in the Conservative vote.
- Construction workers were more likely to vote Conservative, whilst those in the arts leaned towards the New Democratic Party.
- University graduates were more likely to support the Liberal Party in Canada.
- The inverse relationship between education and the Conservative vote was less strong.
- Gender also played a role in the Canadian election, with a strong correlation between the percentage of women in a riding and the Liberal vote.
- Unlike the U.S., there was no definitive sign that a Canadian riding would vote Conservative based on the proportion of men.
- The Bloc Québécois votes were strongly correlated with the percentage of French speakers and Catholics.
- Public transit usage in a riding was inversely correlated with the Bloc vote.
- Voting behavior is influenced by factors such as education, occupation, income, regional economic conditions, and social identity.
- Differences in electoral systems and cultural contexts result in distinct voting patterns in both Canada and the U.S.
- Workers in the service sector in the U.S. might support policies for social welfare.
- Those in management roles in the U.S. may favor more conservative economic policies.
- In Canada, workers in the arts tend to support more progressive policies, while construction workers may lean towards conservatism.
- Canadian political parties set themselves apart with a more nuanced approach to social and economic issues.
- The U.S. operates under a presidential system with winner-takes-all elections in many states.
- Canada uses a parliamentary system.
- Canada adopts a more streamlined voter registration system compared to the U.S.
- The mindfulness of goal-setting in lifelong learning and career development can significantly impact the electorate's choices.
- Education and self-development, including personal growth, can lead to improved productivity and career success, appealing to voters.
- Job-search platforms and online education resources provide opportunities for professional development and learning.
- The general news, covering politics, policy, and legislation, is a crucial source of information for the electorate.
- Crime and justice are significant topics of discussion, with policies aimed at reducing accidents, fires, and other incidents.
- Sports, ranging from football (NFL, WNBA, NBA, MLB, NHL, golf, racing, baseball, hockey, mixed martial arts, tennis, and American football), are key factors in entertainment and even sports-betting for some, influencing the electorate in various ways.


